| After watching a lot of film on both the Falcons and Saints, talking to coaches and scouts and following preseason practices, here are some key things to watch in their Monday night game (ESPN 8:30 p.m. ET).
Atlanta Falcons
• Atlanta’s rushing numbers in their first two games — 558 net yards on 91 rushes — are simply mind boggling, considering they don’t have a marquee offensive lineman. They do have a good fullback in Justin Griffith, but they have an undersized back in Warrick Dunn and don’t have great blocking downfield.A big reason for their success is quarterback Michael Vick, who is still a threat every time he touches the ball. He is also doing a much better job of using the threat of the run to set up the pass. Dunn is a perfect fit in the Falcons’ zone blocking schemes that require only one cut. As long as they keep running the ball, it will keep their defense off the field and Vick from forcing the ball in the passing game.
• The new stretch option play with Vick worked well against a veteran Tampa Bay defense. While it is a fairly basic play, it is lethal because of Vick’s and Dunn’s speed and running ability. Vick simply takes the snap and has the option to give it to Dunn or keep it himself. What makes it tough on defenses is that the two guys run in opposite directions. This is a play that Vince Young ran well at Texas, but how long will it take for NFL defenses to adjust to it?
• An individual matchup that may fly under the radar this week is Atlanta left offensive tackle Wayne Gandy versus New Orleans right defensive end Will Smith. Although Gandy is an aging veteran, he has played really well in pass protection in the first two weeks and has been a stabilizing influence for this unit. The NFC South has quality pass rushers at RDE and the LOT position is very important.
• When you watch the Falcons’ run game on film, it is easy to be impressed with their zone blocking schemes, especially on inside runs. On almost every run play between the tackles, the Falcons get double team blocks on both defensive tackles and get a great push, making it tough for the LBs to scrape and get off those blocks.
• A big challenge for the Saints’ defense is defending Vick when he is on the run. They are an aggressive defense that likes to pursue, but the best way to play against Vick is to stay in a contain mode and guard against the cutback run. They must also be prepared to flow fast if he doesn’t cut back against the grain. It is a tough assignment for any defense.
• Another big factor in Vick’s early success is the fact that he is running the option offense out of the shotgun formation. It gives him a lot of room to see the defense and make decisions. Even though Vick may run this offense only 20 snaps a game, it is so unusual that defensive coordinators spend an inordinate amount of time preparing for those 20 plays, which takes away from preparation for the other 40 to 50 snaps.
• The Falcons are starting to incorporate RB Jerious Norwood into the running game as a nice changeup to Dunn. Norwood gives them some physical, inside running, which sets up Dunn for outside runs.
The Saints are very active on defense, but they are not very big and physical. They depend on one-gap quickness and penetration to have success, and the Falcons’ offensive line should be able to get a big body on defenders and move them out of the hole. An underrated player in this run game is Griffith, who does a nice job as a lead blocker and is also excellent in pass protection and blitz pickup. He also catches the ball well out of the backfield.
• A fun individual matchup to watch is Atlanta cornerback DeAngelo Hall versus New Orleans wide receiver Joe Horn. Hall is developing into a shutdown corner. While he can outrun the veteran Horn, he is not big and physical. Horn will look to push off to get separation on quick crossing routes and hitches. Drew Brees will have to be smart in this matchup and not force the ball to Horn, who will want the ball often in this national spotlight. Hall can jump routes and take chances because he has the ability to recover if he makes a mistake. This may be a frustrating night for Horn and I think Brees may have to look elsewhere for success in the passing game.
• Reggie Bush could have a significant role in this game as a receiver out of the backfield. If Horn is neutralized by Hall, he may become a little bit of a decoy by running vertical routes and clearing out some zones for Bush. If he lines up in the backfield, Bush will likely be covered by a linebacker and that is a matchup he will win every time. We know that New Orleans likes to put Bush in motion or play him in the perimeter, but when he is in the backfield he has a much better chance to get the individual matchup he likes. The Falcons might counter with Hall covering Bush at times, which is a great athletic matchup.
• This Atlanta defense may be for real. We know that ends John Abraham (who won’t play) and Patrick Kerney are excellent edge rushers, and Hall is becoming a true shutdown corner, but where they get my attention is up the middle. They have two physical tackles in Grady Jackson and Rod Coleman, which allows middle linebacker Keith Brooking to fly to the ball without a lot of contact. Behind Brooking they have two physical safeties — Lawyer Milloy and Chris Crocker. It is tough for offenses to attack the inside of this improving defense.
New Orleans Saints
• When you break down Brees on film, the first thing you examine is his arm strength and the velocity of his passes because of his shoulder surgery. He looked good against Green Bay a week ago. He threw an excellent deep ball with a lot of air, and his intermediate passes had decent zip and excellent accuracy. He is also taking hits and responding well. He has a good command of this offense and is the face of this team.• Speaking of Brees, a big play in the second quarter typifies the intelligence and grittiness that makes him such a good leader. He threw a 26-yard TD to WR Devery Henderson, set up by a great double pump that froze corner Ahmad Carroll, allowing Henderson to get behind him. Brees also made a perfect throw. However, what most fans didn’t realize is the play before the TD, Carroll went to the ground with leg cramps and muscle spasms. Brees saw it and knew he had a good one-on-one match on the outside. He went right after Carroll one play later for the touchdown.
• The right side of the Saints’ defensive line — tackle Bryant Young and end Will Smith — has combined for five sacks in the first two weeks of the season, and the Saints are playing solid overall run defense. They have given up only 74.0 yards per game on the ground in the first two weeks, but they have not seen a run offense like the Falcons. This is a defense that is overachieving and playing smart football (only two penalties versus Green Bay)
• The Saints are opening up the passing game to stretch defenses and set up the run game. Brees is doing a great job of recognizing positive individual matchups. Against Green Bay, the Saints had six receivers catch a pass for 20 yards or longer. We think of Brees as a QB who excels in a short passing game, but his ability to go vertical with good touch makes this offense much less predictable.
• One reason the Saints may be playing so well on defense so far is they put a premium on conditioning in training camp and this is a unit that is in good physical shape. The other reason is they are using a rotation, not only in their defensive line, but also in their back seven. They are playing a lot of different defensive packages and appear to be fresher in the fourth quarter than opposing offenses.
• It is imperative for the Saints to run the ball well this week against an aggressive and athletic Atlanta defensive front seven. Last week, they only ran the ball 22 times against Green Bay. They must control the clock on offense and keep the Falcons’ offense off the field. They cannot afford a lot of three-and-outs or they will let this game get out of control early.
• The Saints will play some Cover 2 schemes versus the Falcons. On paper, this is a good defense against Vick, as there are seven defenders sitting in coverage facing Vick, in position to come up and contain him. However, because the Atlanta running game is so good right now, the Saints will be tempted (and possibly forced) to bring at least one safety in the box in run support, creating a huge matchup problem versus tight end Alge Crumpler. He can beat most safeties or linebackers in coverage, and can exploit the middle of the field, especially if Vick freezes the Saints’ defense with his option reads. The Saints love to play downhill on defense, but Atlanta has so many offensive options with Vick, the Saints may be forced to be less aggressive.
• Brees is doing an excellent job of spreading the ball around and managing the game. He gets the ball to his best playmaker in Horn, but also knows how to incorporate rookie Bush into the offense. He is also not afraid to get the ball to his other receivers such as Marques Colston and Henderson. Brees takes what the defense gives him and his best feature may be his composure under pressure. He is the perfect guy right now to lead this team.
• Brees will face a Falcons defense that may try to blitz him and force him throw on the move, which is not his strength. However, he does process information very quickly and has a quick release. The key will be to get the ball out faster than usual and the passing game on Monday night may consist of more short passes, quick slants and hitches.
• A very tough matchup for the Saints is Atlanta DT Rod Coleman versus the interior of New Orleans’ offensive line. Coleman is one of the most dominating inside penetrators in the NFL and is an excellent pass rusher for a big man. If he gets a good inside push, it will negate Brees’ ability to step up in the pocket, forcing him to move sideways. Controlling Coleman is critical, because he can totally take over a game at the line of scrimmage.
Gary Horton, a pro scout for Scouts Inc., has been a football talent evaluator for more than 30 years. He spent 10 years in the NFL and 10 years at the college level before launching a private scouting firm called “The War Room.” |